SIO 210 Talley Topic 8: Monsoons, El Nino; Mid-latitude variability

Lynne Talley, 1997
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Outline

A comprehensive report on the climate problems being considered by CLIVAR (monsoons - Asian, American, African; El Nino; decadal change) can be accessed at:
http://www.clivar.ucar.edu/vol1/contents.html .

1. Monsoons

Thermally direct circulation in the tropical atmosphere (like Walker cell and sea/land breeze). Rising air over warm earth and sinking over cool with surface air flow from sinking to the rising region.

In summer, land is warmer than ocean so surface wind is from ocean to land. In winter, the reverse.

Indian (Asian-Australian) monsoon: late summer conditions are strong air flow from the Arabian Sea northeastward into India ("Southwest monsoon"), accompanied by large precipitation over land. Wind along Arabia is especially intense ("Findlater jet"), like an atmospheric western boundary current. The Findlater jet forces major upwelling along the Arabian coast (offshore Ekman flow). Circulation in the Arabian Sea is anticyclonic and the northward Somali Current (western boundary current) is fully developed.
In autumn, the sea-air temperature contrast decreases. The Findlater jet swings to the south and blows eastward ("Transition"). During the Transition, a strong eastward surface jet develops in the ocean along the equator.
In winter, the wind blows from land to sea ("Northeast monsoon"). Upwelling in the Arabian Sea ceases. Circulation in the Arabian Sea weakens and the Somali Current can reverse.

Other monsoon regions: Asia up through China and Japan is part of the same monsoon system ("Asian-Australian monsoon"). The western part of Mexico up through Arizona experiences the "Pan-American monsoon". The southern hemisphere portion of this monsoon affects western South America in austral summer. The African monsoon system affects tropical Africa with major rainfall in the northern hemisphere in boreal summer and in the southern hemisphere in austral summer.

Draft versions of CLIVAR's detailed descriptions of the
Asian-Australian Monsoon
and the American Monsoon are available online. The full text of the CLIVAR plans for all timescales is also available at http://www.dkrz.de/clivar/climp.html

2. El Nino

Normal Pacific equatorial circulation:
Trade winds in tropics are driven by warm SST in west and cool SST in east, causing rising air in west and sinking in east (Walker cell). Precipitation accompanies the rising air in the west.

Flow on equator driven by trade winds, pushing surface water westward. Water piles up in west in the "warm pool", which creates a pressure gradient which forces water eastward, in the undercurrent.

El Nino condition:

The trades weaken, as marked by a change in the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) towards higher pressure in Australia and lower pressure in the central Pacific.

The westward equatorial surface flow weakens, warm pool surges eastward. Sea level drops in western Pacific and rises in central Pacific. The thermocline flattens. Warm sea surface temperature (SST anomalies appear along equator. Upwelling weakens in the east as well, causing warm SST anomaly there.

This SST change weakens the trades further and shifts the convection cell eastward. Western Pacific is drier and central Pacific is wetter.

Warm anomalies in the eastern Pacific spread poleward along the eastern boundary (Kelvin wave). Thermocline deepens along the boundary so even if coastal winds are upwelling-favorable, the nutrient-rich water does not reach the surface.

El Nino condition affects the mid-latitudes through a teleconnection through the atmosphere.

La Nina condition: Extreme case of the "normal" situation.

Switch from El Nino to La Nino: mechanism not clear.

Many excellent websites now exist concerning El Nino. A good entry point is:
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino/

3. Mid-latitude variability - decadal change

No text prepared for class notes yet.

CLIVAR is the international program organized by the World Climate Research Programme for studying climate change. Under CLIVAR, climate time scales from El Nino to decadal are being studied. The scientific plan is still being shaped. For information about CLIVAR, check the website http://www.clivar.ucar.edu/hp.html .